2016 NY Section 2 High School Football Weekly Power Rankings & Projections

The projections below are based on my most recent power rankings which are listed below this week's games. The rankings are computer generated and not my opinion. They factor in strength of schedule and each team's past results. Taking all that information into account, they are meant to project the outcome of a game if the 2 teams played today.

I've added a game score next to the final projection for each game. The game score is based on a scale of 1-100 with 100 being the highest score. That score will let readers know of games that may be close or fun to watch. Each game gets an auto generated rating based on the projected margin of victory and the overall strength of the teams playing. It's a formula I've created

For a quick guide to game score system:

>80 to 100
 Must watch HS Football.
>65 to 80
Chance of an upset for large schools or a competitive game for 2 small schools.
<65
 A good chance of a big margin of victory by 1 team.

Please email any questions or comments to info@nationalsportsrankings.com

Week 10 Projections
Date Projected Winning Team Pct. Chance
Projected Losing Team Pct. Chance
Margin
Game Score










11/3/2016 Troy 66.39% over Shaker 33.61% by 6
92.27
11/4/2016 Glens Falls 86.44% over Hudson 13.56% by 17
80.44
11/4/2016 Greenwich 71.69% over Mechanicville 28.31% by 9
83.69
11/5/2016 Cambridge 99.29% over Whitehall 0.71% by 37
57.32
11/5/2016 Burnt Hills 65.30% over Averill Park 34.70% by 6
90.87

Playoff Turnament Simulation

Click any of the links below and hit play. The simulation will run the entire tournament for that specific class in seconds. Click any team and get the box score and player stats for that particular game. Hit play again to run it over and over just like if they played the tournament under different circumstances. You'll get a different result each time.

Class AA

Class A

Class B

Class C

Class D

Chance of Winning

Each team's chance of winning each round of their tournament based on each team's current power rankings and path to the title.  

Using Rankings after 10/22/16 Week 8 games.

Class AA





Winning Winning

Semi Final
CBA 17.31% 7.03%
Troy 82.69% 62.73%
Shaker 56.60% 18.43%
Guilderland 43.40% 11.81%



Class A





Winning Winning

Semi Final
Amsterdam 44.35% 14.15%
Averill Park 55.65% 20.66%
Burnt Hills 47.86% 30.71%
Queensbury 52.14% 34.48%



Class B





Winning Winning

Semi Final
Schuylerville 48.57% 7.75%
Hudson 51.43% 8.62%
Schalmont 15.50% 8.88%
Glens Falls 84.50% 74.76%



Class C





Winning Winning

Semi Final
Mechanicville 47.64% 13.11%
Voorheesville 52.36% 15.46%
Greenwich 41.10% 27.49%
Hoosic Valley 58.90% 43.94%



Class D





Winning Winning

Semi Final
Cambridge 99.27% 98.27%
Warrensburg 0.73% 0.34%
Whitehall 43.09% 0.48%
Canajoharie 56.91% 0.91%

Using rankings after 10/15/16 Week 7 games before the tournaments start. 

Class AA Winning Winning Winning

Quarter Semi Final
Ballston Spa 0.12% 0.01% 0.00%
Troy 99.88% 91.17% 70.49%
Columbia 24.55% 0.68% 0.09%
CBA 75.45% 8.14% 2.67%
Guilderland 79.17% 34.33% 7.79%
Bethlehem 20.83% 3.63% 0.26%
Shenendehowa 22.74% 9.26% 1.22%
Shaker 77.26% 52.78% 17.49%




Class A Winning Winning Winning

Quarter Semi Final
Gloversville 2.48% 0.14% 0.00%
Averill Park 97.52% 58.91% 19.90%
Lansingburgh 23.37% 5.08% 0.54%
Amsterdam 76.63% 35.87% 10.70%
Mohonasen 6.02% 0.51% 0.08%
Queensbury 93.98% 50.30% 35.25%
South Glens Falls 3.40% 0.17% 0.02%
Burnt Hills 96.60% 49.01% 33.50%




Class B Winning Winning Winning

Quarter Semi Final
Johnstown 4.77% 0.39% 0.00%
Hudson 95.23% 57.81% 9.41%
Ravena 43.49% 16.68% 1.59%
Schuylerville 56.51% 25.12% 3.07%
Albany Academy 0.15% 0.01% 0.00%
Glens Falls 99.85% 88.54% 79.74%
Broadalbin-Perth 1.68% 0.00% 0.00%
Schalmont 98.32% 11.45% 6.18%




Class C Winning Winning Winning

Quarter Semi Final
Hoosick Falls 26.54% 7.12% 0.81%
Voorheesville 73.46% 36.83% 9.95%
Mechanicville 59.94% 35.90% 10.84%
Stillwater 40.06% 20.15% 4.51%
Holy Trinity 15.68% 4.28% 1.84%
Hoosic Valley 84.32% 53.44% 42.33%
Greenwich 83.73% 39.62% 28.78%
Watervliet 16.27% 2.67% 0.95%




Class D Winning Winning

Semi Final
Cambridge 99.02% 97.69%
Warrensburg 0.98% 0.45%
Whitehall 38.85% 0.49%
Canajoharie 61.15% 1.37%

Power Rankings through 10/29/2016 games

(Section 2 vs Section 2 games only)

Teams listed alphabetically. To get a prediction of an upcoming game subtract the lower rated team from the higher rated team using the ranking column.

Rank = Section 2 rank

Ranking = Overall power ranking

S.O.S = Strength of schedule based on opponents overall ranking

RANK TEAM RANKING W L PF PA S.O.S








21 Albany 30.95 5 4 25.22 26.78 15
36 Albany Academy 14.37 4 5 19.56 29.00 27
14 Amsterdam 38.22 6 3 32.00 19.67 23
12 Averill Park 41.37 8 1 35.22 17.33 28
24 Ballston Spa 26.02 3 6 10.89 26.00 2
13 Bethlehem 41.19 4 5 15.22 14.89 4
41 Broadalbin-Perth 8.86 2 7 20.56 32.67 31
8 Burnt Hills 47.27 8 1 42.33 17.89 29
60 Cairo-Durham -46.83 0 9 4.44 48.89 59
7 Cambridge 48.04 9 0 55.33 5.89 57
38 Canajoharie 11.65 6 3 26.22 15.78 55
4 CBA 55.01 7 2 33.89 14.67 12
45 Chatham 7.24 4 4 30.13 19.13 60
31 Cobleskill 20.00 5 4 24.00 20.78 36
27 Colonie 22.59 2 7 14.11 26.78 13
18 Columbia 34.94 5 4 22.00 28.78 1
46 Corinth 7.16 2 6 22.38 28.88 41
42 Coxsackie-Athens 8.55 5 4 28.11 17.56 58
55 Fonda -9.36 1 7 13.63 41.63 33
59 Fort Edward/Argyle -34.38 1 8 8.11 42.78 56
3 Glens Falls 58.74 9 0 43.00 11.33 21
48 Gloversville 5.79 1 8 17.11 38.56 20
52 Granville -5.03 1 8 13.78 31.33 43
47 Green Tech 7.08 3 6 17.33 34.89 26
17 Greenwich 35.14 7 2 32.00 12.11 37
5 Guilderland 53.99 8 1 34.78 18.11 8
53 Helderberg Valley -7.36 2 6 20.75 32.63 48
33 Holy Trinity 17.08 5 4 19.89 17.56 38
16 Hoosic Valley 35.61 7 2 38.56 20.44 34
40 Hoosick Falls 11.22 4 5 19.33 22.22 40
10 Hudson 42.24 9 0 32.22 9.11 32
35 Hudson Falls 16.23 3 6 18.44 19.56 35
58 Ichabod Crane -19.38 1 8 5.44 39.44 39
37 Johnstown 13.76 1 8 15.11 31.56 17
28 La Salle 22.09 2 7 14.89 29.00 11
44 Lake George/Hadley-Luzerne 7.52 4 5 21.22 26.89 42
25 Lansingburgh 25.57 5 4 23.44 23.44 25
22 Mechanicville 26.54 7 2 33.78 16.56 46
30 Mohonasen 21.72 2 7 26.33 37.56 14
50 Niskayuna -0.07 0 8 6.88 44.13 9
9 Queensbury 44.08 8 1 45.78 24.44 30
19 Ravena 34.69 5 4 26.89 19.56 19
51 Rensselaer -0.21 5 4 25.33 29.56 49
57 Salem -17.20 1 8 12.89 33.33 51
20 Saratoga Springs 33.58 3 6 16.56 19.56 10
11 Schalmont 41.40 5 4 37.22 24.22 18
23 Schenectady 26.46 2 7 12.33 23.56 7
15 Schuylerville 37.81 6 3 27.11 21.00 16
49 Scotia 3.68 1 8 16.56 39.11 22
2 Shaker 61.05 8 1 30.33 8.78 5
6 Shenendehowa 53.53 5 4 28.00 15.44 3
32 South Glens Falls 17.51 3 6 28.44 36.67 24
29 Stillwater 22.02 7 2 31.33 19.33 45
56 Taconic Hills -15.21 2 6 9.75 26.38 54
54 Tamarac -8.92 3 5 17.63 28.50 52
1 Troy 67.39 9 0 37.22 7.89 6
26 Voorheesville 24.96 7 2 29.78 15.33 44
43 Warrensburg 7.69 4 4 28.13 28.00 47
34 Watervliet 16.83 7 2 27.22 14.00 50
39 Whitehall 11.28 7 2 19.67 10.11 53


Previous Projections (Numbers were listed on this page before the game started. Tracking began Week 4)

Record of higher ranked team winning the game:
142-34 (80.6%)

Date Projected Winning Team
Projected Losing Team
Margin
Result








09/21/2016 Ravena over Cobleskill by 18
W
09/23/2016 Averill Park over Burnt Hills by 2
W
09/23/2016 Bethlehem over Columbia by 4
L
09/23/2016 Glens Falls over Broadalbin-Perth by 40++
W
09/23/2016 Canajoharie over Whitehall by 10
L
09/23/2016 Stillwater over Corinth by 26
W
09/23/2016 Coxsackie-Athens over Taconic Hills by 25
W
09/23/2016 Greenwich over Hoosic Valley by 14
L
09/23/2016 Guilderland over Ballston Spa by 23
W
09/23/2016 Holy Trinity over Granville by 40++
W
09/23/2016 Lake George/Hadley-Luzerne over Hoosick Falls by 23
W
09/23/2016 Hudson over Ichabod Crane by 40++
W
09/23/2016 Colonie over La Salle by 7
W
09/23/2016 Lansingburgh over Amsterdam by 4
L
09/23/2016 Mechanicville over Watervliet by 10
W
09/23/2016 Mohonasen over Green Tech by 13
W
09/23/2016 CBA over Niskayuna by 40++
W
09/23/2016 Rensselaer over Fort Edward/Argyle by 30
W
09/23/2016 Schuylerville over Johnstown by 12
W
09/23/2016 Shenendehowa over Saratoga Springs by 26
W
09/23/2016 Queensbury over South Glens Falls by 33
W
09/23/2016 Chatham over Tamarac by 21
L
09/23/2016 Troy over Shaker by 3
W
09/24/2016 Schalmont over Albany Academy by 16
W
09/24/2016 Cambridge over Salem by 40++
W
09/24/2016 Voorheesville over Fonda by 33
W
09/24/2016 Scotia over Gloversville by 3
L
09/24/2016 Warrensburg over Helderberg Valley by 16
W
09/24/2016 Hudson Falls over Cairo-Durham by 40++
W
09/24/2016 Schenectady over Albany by 14
L
09/30/2016 Albany over Ballston Spa by 12
L
09/30/2016 Burnt Hills over Mohonasen by 10
W
09/30/2016 CBA over Shenendehowa by 1
W
09/30/2016 Fonda over Chatham by 1
L
09/30/2016 Hudson over Cobleskill by 18
W
09/30/2016 Troy over Colonie by 40++
W
09/30/2016 Guilderland over Columbia by 9
W
09/30/2016 Queensbury over Gloversville by 40++
W
09/30/2016 Granville over Corinth by 3
L
09/30/2016 Greenwich over Lake George/Hadley-Luzerne by 23
W
09/30/2016 Schalmont over Ichabod Crane by 40++
W
09/30/2016 Hudson Falls over Johnstown by 2
W
09/30/2016 Lansingburgh over Green Tech by 12
W
09/30/2016 Ravena over Albany Academy by 20
W
09/30/2016 Saratoga Springs over Niskayuna by 31
W
09/30/2016 Bethlehem over Schenectady by 15
W
09/30/2016 Schuylerville over Broadalbin-Perth by 29
W
09/30/2016 Averill Park over Scotia by 38
W
09/30/2016 Shaker over La Salle by 40++
W
09/30/2016 Holy Trinity over Stillwater by 14
L
09/30/2016 Hoosick Falls over Tamarac by 20
W
10/01/2016 Cambridge over Fort Edward/Argyle by 40++
W
10/01/2016 Helderberg Valley over Salem by 6
W
10/01/2016 Mechanicville over Voorheesville by 19
L
10/01/2016 Whitehall over Rensselaer by 16
L
10/01/2016 Glens Falls over Hoosic Valley by 19
W
10/01/2016 Canajoharie over Warrensburg by 3
W
10/01/2016 Coxsackie-Athens over Cairo-Durham by 40++
W
10/01/2016 Amsterdam over South Glens Falls by 17
W
10/01/2016 Watervliet over Taconic Hills by 34
W
10/07/2016 Amsterdam over Gloversville by 29
W
10/07/2016 Averill Park over Mohonasen by 15
W
10/07/2016 Hudson Falls over Broadalbin-Perth by 10
L
10/07/2016 Cambridge over Canajoharie by 32
W
10/07/2016 Cobleskill over Ichabod Crane by 40++
W
10/07/2016 Columbia over Colonie by 6
W
10/07/2016 Greenwich over Corinth by 37
W
10/07/2016 South Glens Falls over Green Tech by 9
W
10/07/2016 Guilderland over CBA by 1
W
10/07/2016 Coxsackie-Athens over Hoosick Falls by 5
L
10/07/2016 Hudson over Albany Academy by 23
W
10/07/2016 Holy Trinity over Johnstown by 5
W
10/07/2016 Bethlehem over La Salle by 20
W
10/07/2016 Lake George/Hadley-Luzerne over Granville by 15
W
10/07/2016 Mechanicville over Stillwater by 7
L
10/07/2016 Ballston Spa over Niskayuna by 22
W
10/07/2016 Rensselaer over Helderberg Valley by 6
W
10/07/2016 Shaker over Saratoga Springs by 28
W
10/07/2016 Schalmont over Ravena by 3
W
10/07/2016 Tamarac over Cairo-Durham by 36
W
10/07/2016 Troy over Schenectady by 40++
W
10/08/2016 Hoosic Valley over Fonda by 37
W
10/08/2016 Salem over Fort Edward/Argyle by 15
W
10/08/2016 Voorheesville over Taconic Hills by 33
W
10/08/2016 Warrensburg over Whitehall by 6
L
10/08/2016 Watervliet over Chatham by 7
W
10/08/2016 Shenendehowa over Albany by 22
W
10/08/2016 Burnt Hills over Lansingburgh by 12
W
10/08/2016 Glens Falls over Schuylerville by 22
W
10/08/2016 Queensbury over Scotia by 40++
W
10/14/2016 Saratoga Springs over Ballston Spa by 11
L
10/14/2016 Shaker over Bethlehem by 19
W
10/14/2016 Johnstown over Broadalbin-Perth by 3
W
10/14/2016 Canajoharie over Rensselaer by 15
W
10/14/2016 CBA over La Salle by 28
W
10/14/2016 Chatham over Cairo-Durham by 40++
W
10/14/2016 Troy over Columbia by 27
W
10/14/2016 Glens Falls over Hudson Falls by 40++
W
10/14/2016 Burnt Hills over Green Tech by 40++
W
10/14/2016 Hoosick Falls over Corinth by 8
W
10/14/2016 Averill Park over Lansingburgh by 12
W
10/14/2016 Mechanicville over Taconic Hills by 40++
W
10/14/2016 Queensbury over Mohonasen by 26
W
10/14/2016 Albany over Niskayuna by 29
W
10/14/2016 Ravena over Ichabod Crane by 40++
W
10/14/2016 Schalmont over Hudson by 8
L
10/14/2016 Colonie over Schenectady by 5
L
10/14/2016 Greenwich over Schuylerville by 8
L
10/14/2016 Amsterdam over Scotia by 33
W
10/14/2016 Guilderland over Shenendehowa by 8
W
10/14/2016 South Glens Falls over Gloversville by 4
W
10/14/2016 Stillwater over Granville by 23
W
10/14/2016 Watervliet over Tamarac by 20
W
10/15/2016 Voorheesville over Coxsackie-Athens by 12
W
10/15/2016 Helderberg Valley over Fort Edward/Argyle by 28
W
10/15/2016 Holy Trinity over Fonda by 24
W
10/15/2016 Hoosic Valley over Lake George/Hadley-Luzerne by 23
W
10/15/2016 Warrensburg over Salem by 20
W
10/15/2016 Cambridge over Whitehall by 36
W
10/15/2016 Cobleskill over Albany Academy by 7
L

Date Projected Winning Team Pct. Chance
Projected Losing Team Pct. Chance
Margin
Game Score Result











10/21-10/22 Troy 99.88% over Ballston Spa 0.12% by 40++
61.79 W
10/21-10/22 Guilderland 79.17% over Bethlehem 20.83% by 12
83.89 W
10/21-10/22 Shaker 77.26% over Shenendehowa 22.74% by 11
85.72 W
10/21-10/22 CBA 75.45% over Columbia 24.55% by 10
85.03 W
10/21-10/22 Averill Park 97.52% over Gloversville 2.48% by 29
59.65 W
10/21-10/22 Queensbury 93.98% over Mohonasen 6.02% by 23
70.52 W
10/21-10/22 Burnt Hills 96.60% over South Glens Falls 3.40% by 27
65.99 W
10/21-10/22 Amsterdam 76.63% over Lansingburgh 23.37% by 11
81.58 W
10/21-10/22 Hudson 95.23% over Johnstown 4.77% by 25
63.03 W
10/21-10/22 Glens Falls 99.85% over Albany Academy 0.15% by 40++
56.01 W
10/21-10/22 Schalmont 98.32% over Broadalbin-Perth 1.68% by 32
54.39 W
10/21-10/22 Schuylerville 56.51% over Ravena 43.49% by 2
99.90 W
10/21-10/22 Voorheesville 73.46% over Hoosick Falls 26.54% by 9
74.98 W
10/21-10/22 Hoosic Valley 84.32% over Holy Trinity 15.68% by 15
72.84 W
10/21-10/22 Greenwich 83.73% over Watervliet 16.27% by 15
71.18 W
10/21-10/22 Mechanicville 59.94% over Stillwater 40.06% by 4
91.63 W
10/21-10/22 Saratoga Springs 53.15% over Schenectady 46.85% by 1
99.90 W
10/21-10/22 La Salle 97.15% over Niskayuna 2.85% by 29
48.35 W
10/21-10/22 Colonie 56.57% over Albany 43.43% by 2
99.90 L
10/21-10/22 Scotia 55.23% over Green Tech 44.77% by 2
94.25 L
10/21-10/22 Cobleskill 53.25% over Hudson Falls 46.75% by 1
99.90 W
10/21-10/22 Fonda 76.56% over Ichabod Crane 23.44% by 11
74.36 W
10/21-10/22 Canajoharie 97.52% over Tamarac 2.48% by 29
48.30 W
10/21-10/22 Whitehall 93.58% over Granville 6.42% by 23
49.00 W
10/21-10/22 Rensselaer 59.09% over Chatham 40.91% by 3
77.94 L
10/21-10/22 Fort Edward/Argyle 88.14% over Cairo-Durham 11.86% by 18
75.92 W
10/21-10/22 Salem 73.25% over Taconic Hills 26.75% by 9
72.81 L
10/21-10/22 Coxsackie-Athens 65.15% over Helderberg Valley 34.85% by 6
60.91 W
10/21-10/22 Cambridge 99.75% over Lake George/Hadley-Luzerne 0.25% by 40++
54.67 W

Date Projected Winning Team Pct. Chance
Projected Losing Team Pct. Chance
Margin
Game Score











10/27-10/29 Troy 82.69% over CBA 17.31% by 14
84.08 W
10/27-10/29 Shaker 56.60% over Guilderland 43.40% by 2
99.90 W
10/27-10/29 Averill Park 55.65% over Amsterdam 44.35% by 2
99.90 W
10/27-10/29 Queensbury 52.14% over Burnt Hills 47.86% by 1
99.90 L
10/27-10/29 Hudson 51.43% over Schuylerville 48.57% by 1
99.90 W
10/27-10/29 Glens Falls 84.50% over Schalmont 15.50% by 15
81.04 W
10/27-10/29 Voorheesville 52.36% over Mechanicville 47.64% by 1
99.90 L
10/27-10/29 Hoosic Valley 58.90% over Greenwich 41.10% by 3
97.26 L
10/27-10/29 Cambridge 99.27% over Warrensburg 0.73% by 37
58.84 W
10/27-10/29 Canajoharie 56.91% over Whitehall 43.09% by 3
94.27 L
10/27-10/29 Ichabod Crane 94.31% over Cairo-Durham 5.69% by 24
69.94 W
10/27-10/29 Cobleskill 65.00% over Gloversville 35.00% by 6
79.29 W
10/27-10/29 Saratoga Springs 69.25% over Colonie 30.75% by 8
84.10 W
10/27-10/29 Columbia 77.59% over Ballston Spa 22.41% by 11
79.61 W
10/27-10/29 Coxsackie-Athens 75.73% over Rensselaer 24.27% by 10
54.12 L
10/27-10/29 Granville 89.05% over Fort Edward/Argyle 10.95% by 18
65.00 W
10/27-10/29 Albany Academy 64.58% over Green Tech 35.42% by 6
77.07 L
10/27-10/29 Chatham 77.89% over Helderberg Valley 22.11% by 12
51.94 DNP
10/27-10/29 Holy Trinity 50.36% over Watervliet 49.64% by 0
99.90 L
10/27-10/29 Stillwater 71.85% over Hoosick Falls 28.15% by 9
74.57 W
10/27-10/29 Hudson Falls 67.12% over Lake George/Hadley-Luzerne 32.88% by 7
73.41 W
10/27-10/29 Lansingburgh 50.08% over Schenectady 49.92% by 1
99.90 W
10/27-10/29 Albany 59.70% over Mohonasen 40.30% by 4
93.24 W
10/27-10/29 Ravena 91.15% over Johnstown 8.85% by 20
64.25 W
10/27-10/29 Corinth 82.49% over Salem 17.51% by 14
50.98 W
10/27-10/29 Broadalbin-Perth 57.53% over Scotia 42.47% by 3
84.47 L
10/27-10/29 Shenendehowa 72.73% over Bethlehem 27.27% by 9
86.75 W
10/27-10/29 La Salle 55.23% over South Glens Falls 44.77% by 2
99.90 W
10/27-10/29 Fonda 58.79% over Taconic Hills 41.21% by 3
92.12 DNP